TOP 25 HITTER PROJECTIONS (5×5 with AVG)

Early Fantasy baseball top 25 hitter projections for 2018.  No need to sign up for a membership or pay money.  That would be absurd!  It’s all free here.  I should have 5×5 using OBP projections later in the week.

RANK Name Team POS Runs HRs RBI SB AVG
1 Mike Trout LAA OF 114 40 108 23 0.302
2 Jose Altuve HOU 2B 101 20 86 27 0.316
3 Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1B 96 32 97 16 0.288
4 Bryce Harper WAS OF 103 34 98 7 0.297
5 Mookie Betts BOS OF 102 27 89 24 0.295
6 Nolan Arenado COL 3B 101 37 115 2 0.293
7 Giancarlo Stanton MIA OF 102 47 112 2 0.271
8 Trea Turner WAS SS 110 16 68 58 0.294
9 Carlos Correa HOU SS 94 32 105 10 0.297
10 Charlie Blackmon COL OF 104 30 80 11 0.302
11 Freddie Freeman ATL 1B/3B 101 35 98 7 0.301
12 Francisco Lindor CLE SS 102 27 89 18 0.285
13 Joey Votto CIN 1B 100 30 93 4 0.303
14 Manny Machado BAL 3B 98 35 95 9 0.281
15 J.D. Martinez OF 88 39 102 2 0.286
16 Anthony Rizzo CHC 1B/2B 100 32 103 7 0.274
17 George Springer HOU OF 112 31 86 5 0.285
18 Jose Ramirez CLE 2B/3B 95 23 87 19 0.295
19 Gary Sanchez NYY C 80 33 93 2 0.262
20 Alex Bregman HOU SS/3B 100 26 82 14 0.291
21 Cody Bellinger LAD 1B/OF 89 40 100 9 0.260
22 Aaron Judge NYY OF 95 45 98 8 0.245
23 Kris Bryant CHC 3B/OF 105 31 84 5 0.283
24 Jose Abreu CHW 1B 82 31 98 2 0.288
25 Dee Gordon MIA 2B 93 2 44 57 0.294

I almost had A.J. Pollock inside the top 25 but I docked him about 90 PA due to lingering groin issues the last couple years.  But the upside is huge if he can stay healthy hitting second in the ARI lineup, a 20-30 season is a possibility.  I was also surprised that Rhys Hoskins did not make the list considering how much I love him!  I feel that with all the fly balls his BABIP will be around .260-.270 capping his BA upside and not to mention the Phils offense isn’t going to help him all that much.  Also, Justin Upton got an upgrade staying in LA with Mike Trout.  Hitting behind Trout will provide ample RBI opportunities and should finish close to 30-100 with 10 steals but with BA regression.

Ok, enough about who isn’t on this list.  I was a bit surprised to have Jose Abreu inside the top 25 but he’s been a steady 30-100 hitter since he’s come over from Cuba.  I understand 30-100 isn’t what it used to be, but he’s capable of hitting over .300 with his high contact rate.  Batting average is often overlooked but with the increase in strikeouts batting average’s across the league have dropped and only 25 players hit .300 in both 2016 and 2017.  BA isn’t quite as scarce as steals, but Abreu should be close to top 25-30 in three categories.  He’s a safe, highly productive 3rd rounder.  That being said, if I’m in a keeper or dynasty league, I’m taking Hoskins all day over Abreu.

Gary Sanchez‘s overall projections probably put him in the mid 30s for hitters but his numbers at the catcher position were unmatched in 2017 and I expect more of the same in 2018.  Contreras is my #2 catcher and he might end up with .265-70-25-80 which is solid but you’d have to spend a top 65 pick to get him.

Stanton and J.D. Martinez could move around a bit depending on where they end up.  The rumors of Stanton going to the Giants would be a knock on his fantasy value.  I’m not worried about the park, no park can hold Stanton except maybe center field at the old Polo Grounds.  Martinez on the other hand has been rumored to go to the Red Sox or back to the Diamondbacks which would obviously be great for his value.  I wouldn’t change his projections is that’s where he ends up.

Anyone else you think should be in the top 25?  Who should be left off that I have here?  You can also ask me on twitter @FreezeStats.