2018 OUTFIELDER RANKINGS FOR 2018
Updated: 2/7/2018 by Max Freeze
|Trout & Friends|
|2||Mookie Betts||Red Sox||OF|
|Four (Category) Your Pleasure Studs|
|11||Andrew Benintendi||Red Sox||OF|
|You want Power, I’ll get you some Power|
|Upside for Days|
|Meh, I’m not sure I’m all that Interested|
|Could be a #3 OF but more like my #4/UTL|
|44||Steven Souza Jr.||Rays||OF|
|51||Avisail Garcia||White Sox||OF|
|This Tier puts me to sleep, what else ya got?|
|61||Kevin Pillar||Blue Jays||OF|
|64||Randal Grichuk||Blue Jays||OF|
|68||Jackie Bradley Jr.||Red Sox||OF|
|If I’m Drafting an OF Bench Bat, I want Upside!|
|79||Anthony Alford||Blue Jays||OF|
|The Rest / Don’t Want|
|95||Steve Pearce||Blue Jays||OF/1B|
|96||Teoscar Hernandez||Blue Jays||OF|
|98||Jose Bautista||Blue Jays||OF|
Mike Trout is #1 any way you slice it. The difference between Trout and #2 is about the difference between Betts and Judge, he’s that good. Mookie Betts through Charlie Blackmon are all very close and I’ve slipped J.D. Martinez (assuming he signs and plays) in there as well because he’s basically a lock for 40+ HR and 110 RBI. I could see anyone from the Mike Trout tier finish not only as the #1 OF but #1 overall. I didn’t rank Kris Bryant because he only started eight games in the OF in 2017 (I’m using a minimum of 10 starts) but he’d rank somewhere between Bellinger and Yelich. If you’ve read my site, you know I don’t love Bryant going into 2018..
Outside of the top 10, I’ve got Pham at 12 which was a surprise to even me. He is coming off a great year and yes, he’ll be 30 in 2018 but so what. A lot of guys peak late, look at J.D. Martinez and Jose Bautista. My projections for Tommy Pham have built in regression for K rate, BB rate, and HR/FB and he’s still this high. Look, his Swstr was down to 7.6% and his O-Swing was down to 19.0% which was 3rd in the majors in front of some Mr. Fish guy named Trout! He hits the ball hard and has well above average/good speed. Come on fam (Pham) he went 23/25 in 128 games and will have a full time role hitting between 1st and 4th in the order. For A.J. Pollock he needs to stay healthy but if he does, he will earn his ranking and then some. He’s got 20-30 talent with a high average hitting in front of Goldy.
This is what I said at the end of December “I really like Christian Yelich if he can get out of Miami and go to a better park and lineup. His FB% have gone from 15%, 20%, 25% the past three seasons. He hits the ball extremely hard, takes walks, rarely pops-up, hits for average, and has some speed. If he’s moved to a hitter’s park in a solid lineup, I could see .300-25-100 upside with 15 steals.” That’s why he jumped up to 10th overall for OF. If you think Starling Marte is low, I lay out some reasons why I’m down on him in this bust post.
The next tier is straight power, all those guys have 35+ HR power and will give you 3 categories, don’t ask for anymore from these guys. The 19-30 Upside for Days tier has a nice mixed bag of OFs. In most leagues, I want to own two of these guys it’s a combination of young talent and old veterans who can still produce. I already mentioned Marte, I won’t be owning him, I’m likely lower on him than anyone else. The next tier starts with Billy Hamilton, I’m not falling for the stolen base scarcity (if you can’t tell). He absolutely kills you in all 4 categories other than steals. Does .250-5-70-35-55 sound great? No, thank you.