Gohara is a large young man who turned only 21 in July of 2017. What I mean by large is this:
He’s listed at 6-3 210 pounds LOL. Maybe when he was drafted back in 2013 at the age of 17. He’s easily 260 now. But so what, look at Sabathia and the ageless Bartolo Colon. Ok, enough about how large this man is, this is about his talents.
The Braves minor league system is absolutely stacked! Gohara is a top five prospect in the Braves system that includes Ronald Acuna and I’ve seen him ranked as high as second in the system. Gohara came up late in 2017 and threw 29.1 innings. Of all the rookie pitchers that will be called up in 2018, I think he might be the most valuable for fantasy. A couple rough outings skewed his numbers but the fact that he struck out over a batter per inning, walked less than 2.5/9 and only gave up two HRs tells me a lot. He also was unlucky with a .366 BABIP against and a 62% LOB. His small sample shows a low 35% ground ball rate but looking at his profile you’ll see that he’s consistently had ground ball rates around 50% which is huge if you combine that with swing and miss stuff. Speaking of swing and miss.
Looking at his pitch mix and let me tell you this guy throw gas. He averaged 97 mph on his fastball and has a wipe-out slider. He’s got plus stuff, above average command and went from high A ball into the majors all in 2017. I wouldn’t worry too much about workload because he threw 153 innings across the four levels last year.
The question is will he earn a rotation spot or start the year in Triple-A to be called up in June. The Braves did make a move to acquire Brandon McCarthy and Scott Kazmir from the Dodgers. Talk about reliable starters, do you know how many innings these two pitchers threw the last two seasons combined? Nope, lower, keep going, 268 innings! That’s an average of 67 innings pitched per year. I believe he’s earned a spot but I’ll split the difference and say he gets 25 starts in the majors in 2017. Here are my 2018 projections: 10 Wins, 3.75 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 153 Ks in 145 IP. His ADP is around 260 to 275 overall, so he’s always my last round flier in shallow leagues.