I can’t believe we are into our third month of the 2019 season and more than one-third of the way through the season. Low-owned talented streaming options have most likely been scooped up in your leagues but the good news is, more pitchers are coming with the Super-Two deadline passing (soon) and as injuries begin to mount. We got back on track last week, so let’s take a look at the season numbers to date.
Here’s the link to the running Google Sheet. Those are really solid ratios and right around a strikeout per inning. We have 45 starters streamed to date, so nearly 50% of them have been either a win or a quality start (or both). Not bad at all! Let’s get to next week’s streaming options for week 10 (6/3-6/9) owned in 25% of FantasyPros Consensus leagues.
Jered Eickhoff (SP – PHI), 21% owned, @SD, Tuesday 6/4
Monday is a very short slate with only four games, so our options are limited. Eickhoff is down to 21% owned after fantasy players were running to the waiver wire to acquire his services after his first two dominant starts. He gets San Diego in Petco and he has not been good recently thanks to the long ball. The Padres can hit plenty homers but they have just a .300 wOBA with a 27% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers this year. Eickhoff’s only negative pitch per FanGraphs Pitch value is his fastball and he’s throwing it under 40% of the time. As long as he sticks with his slider and curve 60% of the time, I think he will handle the Padres. I’m Streaming here.
Chase Anderson (SP – MIL) 10% owned, Home vs MIA, Wednesday 6/5
Are we back in on Chase Anderson after a solid start in Pittsburgh? Well, he’s only walked one batter in his last two starts and faced a season-high 23 batters last time out. His velocity is back up over 93.5 MPH like it was back in 2017, the last time he had success. He’s also utilizing his changeup more and is rocking a career-best 11% swinging strike rate (SwStr%) and a 29.6% CSW%. He gets the Marlins at home who have a .273 wOBA over the last month but have been a little better over the last two weeks (.309 wOBA). They still don’t have much power, so I like Anderson as a streamer for the second straight week.
Tyler Mahle (SP – CIN) 12% owned, @STL, Thursday 6/6
I know what you’re thinking, how does Mahle have a 26.2% K% with a sub-10% SwStr rate? Well, he’s thrown a ton of strikes and freezes hitters. His CSW rate is an elite 32.2%! For comparison sake, Justin Verlander has a 32.7% CSW rate. He struck out eight batters in his last start against a tough Nationals team. He gets the Cardinals in Busch Stadium which is great for Mahle compared to his home park. The Cardinals have just a .296 wOBA the last two weeks are just aren’t clicking offensively. He’s curbed the walks bigtime this year with a 66.4% F-Strike rate and I think his home run issue will be suppressed in St Louis. Mahle is a STREAM for me.
Jakob Junis (SP – KC), 9% owned, Home vs CHW, Sunday 6/9
Junis has gone at least six innings and struck out at least six batters in his last three outings. His last two were quality starts and against the Rangers and Yankees. Not exactly easy opponents. It’s no surprise he pumped his elite slider over 50% of the time in both those starts. His slider has yielded just a .234 wOBA this season, so his recipe makes sense. He draws the White Sox at home next Sunday who are in the bottom five in terms of wOBA (.294) and strikeout rate (27.1%) over the last two weeks. The fact that this one is at home should keep his home run issue at bay. Let’s go STREAMING!
Devin Smeltzer (SP – MIN), 8% owned, @DET, Sunday 6/9
Smeltzer’s Major League debut was impressive, to say the least. He went six scoreless innings while striking out seven batters and walking no one. His CSW rate was 36.2% which is among the best in the league. He throws a fourseam, changeup, and curve but doesn’t throw hard. He’s going to get swings and misses from the change and curve but I don’t expect a strikeout rate over 9.0 K/9. That being said, the Tigers have been one of the worst teams in the league and have a .289 wOBA over the last 14 days. Comerica Park is one of the better pitcher’s parks for home runs and the Tigers don’t have much power, to begin with. The Twins should provide plenty of run support, so I expect Smeltzer to earn a W with very solid ratios and four-five strikeouts. STREAM
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