Since I got this up a bit later than normal, I won’t waste your time with worthless rambling. Let’s see what streaming options we have over the Independence Day Holiday. I don’t love the streaming options this week with limited strikeout upside, but the ratios should be solid. Make sure you grab your streamers early in case you plan on tying one on during the holiday week.
Nathan Eovaldi (TB) 9% Away vs MIA, Monday July 2nd
This one seems like an easy call. Except that the Marlins are actually middle of the road offensively the last 30 days. That’s ok, because the Marlins have been worse at home with a sub-.295 wOBA. Eovaldi averages nearly 98 mph on his fastball and it’s been very effective at getting weak contact. On the season, he’s nearly given up 25% soft contact which would be top 10% if he qualified. Unfortunately, Eovaldi doesn’t have the secondary offerings to get swings and misses, but he’s also always around the zone and not walking batters. This is a low-risk, low-reward option. But I’m rolling with it, STREAM
Anthony DeSclafani (CIN) 10% Home vs CWS, Tuesday July 3rd
Great American Ballpark is not a great place to pitch in the summer. But get this, in the last 30 days, the White Sox have the highest strikeout rate and the lowest walk rate in MLB. They are also rocking a .282 wOBA as a team in that time. DeSclafani has not been great but his velocity is good and his slider has registered positive results. I believe he turns a solid outing against the struggling White Sox. STREAM
Marco Estrada (TOR) 19% Home vs NYM, Tuesday July 3rd
Let’s be clear, it’s been a rough year for Estrada, the strikeouts are down, he’s giving up more fly balls and it’s led to a 4.52 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. However, in June he has a 2.35 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP and even the strikeouts have rebounded. Estrada is walking less batters this year compared to 2017, down to 6.4% on the season. Home runs are a concern but the Mets are bad. In the month of June the Mets are hitting .210 as a team! They are only averaging one HR/game last month, so I think Estrada is good for about 7 IP with a couple ER and 5-6 Ks. STREAM
Jeremy Hellickson (WAS) 22% Home vs MIA, Thursday July 5th
Oh look, another low strikeout option. NHe’s not exciting either, but Hellickson has been useful this year and can keep hitters off balance. He only throws 90 mph but his arsenal has five pitches all of which he throw more than 10% of the time. I like Hellickson at home where he sports a 1.65 ERA, yes in limited sample (16.1 IP), but I believe Hell-boy can get through a weak Miami lineup three times on his way to a easy victory. The Nationals bats are too talented to continue this offensive slump. Let’s STREAM
Steven Matz (NYM) 20% Home vs TB, Saturday July 7th
Maybe Matz is our strikeout upside option this week? Matz just handled the Marlins on Sunday with 6 Ks in 5.2 IP on his way to a win. A home start against the Rays look awfully tasty. I understand that the Rays are better with the bats than anticipated but over the past month they have a nearly 26% K rate and a .285 wOBA. Combine that with a .118 ISO as a team and I could see a dominate outing from Matz. I just hope he can get some run support. Either way, I’m in, STREAM.