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Fantasy Baseball: Starting Pitchers to Stream Week 26 (9/23 – 9/29)

Welcome back to the FreezeStats weekly streaming article. Each week I cover anywhere from five to six starters who are available in at least 75% of Yahoo/ESPN leagues per FantasyPros. This is it! The final week of the Major League Baseball season. With fantasy Championships on the line next week, it’s now or never. No more wasting time, let’s get to the top streaming options to help win you your league!

Top options under 50% Owned 

Obviously, if these guys are available, grab them immediately and start them next week.

Jeff Samardzija (SP – SFG) 43% home vs COL

Homer Bailey (SP – OAK) 30% owned, @LAA Wednesday, 9/25


Anthony DeSclafani (SP – CIN) 41% Owned @PIT

Top options under 25% Owned 

Dylan Bundy (SP – BAL) RHP 18% Owned, @TOR, Monday 9/23
Some positives for Bundy include an increased ground ball rate and a decrease in his home run rate. Those, of course, are related. This year, his HR/FB% is two percent lower away from Camden Yards. That’s the good. Now, the not so good. The Baby Jays have been better of late but are still near the top of the league in terms of strikeouts. With Bo Bichette banged up, the Jays aren’t all that scary. This matchup will come down to home runs. If Bundy can limit them, I believe he’ll be an asset to your team, otherwise, he’s going to tie you to the WHIPping Post. Either way, he’ll pile up the strikeouts. I’m streaming here for strikeouts and upside in 12-team and deeper leagues.

Dinelson Lamet (SP – SDP) RHP 20% Owned, home vs LAD, Tuesday 9/24
Speaking of strikeouts and upside. Lamet is definitely a higher ceiling option than Bundy. His floor is about the same given the strength of his opponent. But wait! The Dodgers have struggled of late since they have clinched the division with just an 81 wRC+ in the last two weeks. Lamet has been a strikeout machine since his return from the IL. His 12.57 K/9 would rank third among qualified starters behind just Gerrit Cole and Max Scherzer. So yeah, he’s been pretty damn good. He struck out 14 Brewers in his last outing and hasn’t allowed more than four earned runs in any of his 13 starts. The Dodgers are dangerous, no doubt, but I’ll take the hot hand in Lamet. STREAM  For Ss& Gs, I like Lamet in his final scheduled outing in Arizona on Sunday as well. There’s a high likelihood that the Padres cut his final start short or worse, skip him altogether but he’s worth a stream there as well if it happens. The Diamondbacks have been the worst team offensively for the last 14 days with a paltry 57 wRC+.


Anthony Kay (SP – TOR) LHP 3% Owned, home vs BAL, Tuesday 9/24
The Orioles have been decent lately but still slight below-average in terms of wRC+. However, on the road, they are in the bottom five in the league with a sub-80 wRC+ and a near-25% strikeout rate. Kay has a good fastball and a decent curveball which should be enough to limit the damage from Baltimore hitters. In limited MLB action, Kay has induced groundballs over 50% of the time and an impressive sot contact rate of 25%. He’s yet to allow a home run and based on his low strand rate and elevated BABIP, he’s due some positive luck. I don’t necessarily expect his homerless streak to continue but I think he’ll limit baserunners against a team that doesn’t walk much. Ultimately, I’d expect about five innings with two earned runs are fewer with a handful of strikeouts. It’s slim pickings next week and this will have to do. I’ll STREAM here.

Tyler Beede (SP – SFG) RHP, 5% Owned, home vs COL, Thursday 9/26
Beede just got torched by the Braves this week. Prior to the outing, he was coming off of two scoreless starts against the Marlins and the Dodgers in LA. He draws the Road Rockies which is very different than the team he faced in Colorado back in early-August when he gave up five earned runs. Only the Marlins have been worse than the Rockies away from home this season. With a 73 wRC+ and 26.6% strikeout rate as a team away from the thin air, Beede has a nice setup. Combine that with the fact that Beede has a solid (if unspectacular) 4.02 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP at home in Oracle Park. Beede has a good 95 mph fastball that has performed much better in the second half. He’s managed double-digit swinging strike rates in each of his last three starts. I like Beede to close out the season on a high note. STREAM

Reynaldo Lopez (SP – CHW) RHP, 19% Owned, home vs DET, Friday 9/27
Here’s the ultimate gamble. Do you want to leave your fantasy championship in the hands of Reynaldo Lopez? The first thing I want to look at is how he’s performed against the Tigers this year.  He has two good and one bad start against Detroit this year. It adds up to this: 

1 W  17.1 IP  4.15 ERA 1.21 WHIP  25 K 30.6% K-BB

The last two numbers jump out at me. He’s clearly been able to miss bats and has limited walks. That’s kind of the Tigers M.O. this year. They are young, aggressive, and just flat out bad. Lopez’s success has been tied to his velocity. He’s much better when he averages 97 mph on his fastball. In his last game, he averaged under 97 mph but five of the previous six outings, he averaged over 97 mph. This is a gamble, there’s no doubt. But, and this is a big Kardashian sized butt, he has the potential to throw a championship-winning gem. If he’s averaging 97+ mph with command, he’s going to strike out 10 batters. Of course, the floor is low, but if you’re looking for an edge, STREAM Rey-Lo.


Zach Eflin (SP – PHI) RHP, 25% Owned, home vs MIA
Well, look who’s back. My preseason sleeper has not had the best season but at the end of the day looks like a decent value for a pitcher taken well after pick 300. Over the last month, since he earned his rotation spot back, he’s smokin’ with a 1.57 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. The key to his success is a 57% ground ball rate. He’s throwing his sinker more often and it’s actually been successful. It doesn’t get strikeouts but generates worm burners almost 64% of the time. I like Eflin against a weak Marlins club who have only hit 10 homers over the last two weeks. I think Eflin is the perfect play at the end of your week who should provide solid ratios and a 50+% chance for a win. After rolling with Bundy, and Lopez, I need a safer option. STREAM

Here’s the link to my googlesheet covering the entire list of streamers for the 2019 season. I’ll have a recap in the next few weeks to figure out where I can improve for next year.

Follow me @FreezeStats. Check out my work at FantasyPros and Pitcher List.


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Fantasy Baseball: Starting Pitchers to Stream Week 24 (9/9 – 9/15)

Welcome back to the FreezeStats weekly streaming article. Each week I cover anywhere from five to six starters who are available in at least 75% of Yahoo/ESPN leagues per FantasyPros. With playoffs and fantasy Championships on the line next week, I’ve stepped it up a notch. I’m covering seven pitchers, six of them I recommend as streaming options for you next week. There’s also a bonus option for those in shallow leagues at the bottom. The options are plentiful but also carry some very nice upside. Let’s get to it!


Trevor Williams (SP – PIT) 21% owned @SFG, Monday 9/9
Williams has not taken kindly to the new “happy fun ball” this year with a 5.16 ERA and a home run rate that has doubled since last year. He’s managed games much better with three straight quality starts, a 2.37 ERA, and an even 1.00 WHIP in those three outings. He’s been limiting walks and hard contact which is the key to his success. He’s allowed just a 24.8% hard contact rate and just one home run in his last three starts. He’s not likely to compile a ton of strikeouts but given his efficiency, he could throw seven innings netting him 5-6 strikeouts. He’s on the road in Oracle Park which is a fantastic pitcher’s park. The Giants as a team have a 77 wRC+ (100 is league-average) and have hit just 54 home runs at home this season. That’s fewer than one per game. Williams isn’t the sexiest option, but he’s a great option in quality starts leagues and should help with WHIP. STREAM

Reynaldo Lopez (SP – CHW) 18% owned home vs KCR, Wednesday 9/11
Reynaldo Lopez just threw a one-hit gem against the Indians this past week with 11 strikeouts! He’s also one of the most volatile pitchers in the league right now. He often follows up his extremely great outings with one or two poor ones. I won’t analyze a whole lot with this matchup. It’s obviously favorable against a weak Royals club and at home. The weather in the month of September isn’t all that hot, so the balls shouldn’t be flying out like they were in July and August. Too many of Lopez’s gems are followed by clunkers so obviously, the risk is huge here. I’m only streaming Lopez if you need strikeouts and you’re behind in pitching categories. He’s one of the few streamers who can put together a week-winning start but can also blow your ratios. In deep leagues, take that chance but just know the risk.


Gio Gonzalez (SP – MIL) 10% owned @MIA, Thursday 9/12
The Marlins have a 27.9% strikeout rate and a 74 wRC+ over the last two weeks. If you’re wondering, those rank 30th and 29th respectively over that timeframe. Yup, the Marlins are terrible offensively. Gonzalez has been decent this year with a 4.14 ERA, which given the current environment, isn’t too bad. He’s actually sporting the best chase rate and SwStr% of his career in 2019! But, he’s struggling with throwing strikes and getting ahead of hitters. Here’s the deal. The Brewers aren’t trusting him to go more than five innings which he’s done just once in the last nine starts. He’s also walked four batters each of the last four outings. I’m worried that he can’t find the zone anymore, or he’s scared to attack hitters. Since the All-Star break, his first-pitch strike rate is only 44.4% (61% is league AVG) and his zone rate is an astonishingly low 26.5% (league AVG 41.9%). I don’t think he’ll get hit all that hard against the Marlins but I think the walks will bury him. He likely will only go 4-5 innings and tie owners to the WHIP-ping Post. I’m Staying Away from Gio next week.

Sandy Alcantara (SP – MIA) 14% Owned @SFG, Friday 9/13
Let’s not forget that Alcantara just turned 24 years old (yesterday in fact) and his fastball has been graded out as a 65 out of 80 per FanGraphs. He pumps 95-96 mph on his fastball and his 10.6% swinging-strike rate (SwStr%) indicates he should have a strikeout rate closer to 21-22% rather than 17.7%. Things are changing though. Over his last three starts, he has a 3.60 ERA and a 27.9% strikeout rate! That’s exciting. How’s he doing it? Well, he’s throwing his sinker, yes, his sinker, more often instead of his fourseasm fastball. His sinker generates swinging strikes 11.5% of the time compared to just 6.6% on his fourseam. He combines his sinker with two decent secondaries in his slider and changeup turning him into a pretty solid starter with three good pitches. This is more of an endorsement for next season but as I said, he’s been much better lately and draws the Giants. As a team, the Giants have just a 73 wRC+ over the last two weeks which is 29th in MLB. I’m STREAMING Alcantara next week.

Asher Wojciechowski (SP – BAL) 4% owned @DET, Saturday 9/14
If you’ve been reading my previous articles, you know I love to stream against the Tigers. Only the Marlins have been worse offensively this season and no team has a higher strikeout rate than the Tigers 26.5%. To be fair, they have been a little better over the last two weeks but are still firmly in the bottom third of the league. They have a scant 3.1% walk rate over the last 14 days! That’s crazy-low. Now, over the Woj. His numbers are terrible on the season, no doubt but he’s been stung with 10 homers in just 33 innings at home this year (6 on the road in 32 IP). Camden Yards is a tough place to pitch, but Comerica Park in Detroit has an extremely deep centerfield and deep power alleys. Woj also has a very solid 12% SwStr rate backed by a 34% chase rate which is four percent better than league average. Checking his game log, his opponents have been brutal. He’s faced the Red Sox, Nationals and Rays twice and Houston and the Yankees once each. That’s 10 of his 12 starts fam. The Tigers are going to be a cakewalk for Woj. I’m predicting 6-7 IP 2 ER 6 Ks and a good shot at a win. STREAM 


Logan Webb (SP – SF) 9% owned, home vs MIA, Sunday 9/15
Webb is actually slated for two starts next week and both are at home. I debated using him for both starts but realized that the Pirates are number one in MLB with a 138 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Over that span they have the lowest strikeout rate at just 16.9%. Yes, they had a series in Coors Field during that timeframe, but given the limited strikeout upside combined with hot hitters such as Josh Bell, Kevin Newman, Starling Marte, and Adam Fraizer, I’m passing. However, his start at home against the Marlins has stream written all over it. I covered the ineptitude of Miami’s offense in Gio’s blurb, so let’s dive into Webb. He has an inflated 6.50 ERA in 18 innings thanks to a .404 BABIP and 62.5% strand rate. He’s a groundball pitcher in a friendly park. Home runs should not be an issue. In my opinion, he has two good pitches in his curveball and changeup. Both can generate whiffs and get ground balls. His fastball/sinker is bad. If he can limit its usage to below 50%, he should be just fine. I’m taking my chances here and streaming.

If you’re looking for one more option, I’d lean towards Dinelson Lamet who is right at 25% owned but may be long gone in your leagues. I’ve been touting him for a month now and his matchup is tough. He gets the Cubs but is at home, so there’s a bonus and Jack Baez is out for the rest of the regular season. If you’re looking for strikeouts, he’s your guy. He could pile them up in bunches.

Follow me @FreezeStats. Check out my work at FantasyPros and Pitcher List.


Photo by Kevin Dietsch/UPI


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Starting Pitchers to Stream for Week 17 (7/22-7/28)

Welcome back to the FreezeStats weekly streamers article! You know the drill, I look at next week’s landscape and discuss the starting pitchers available in at least 75% of Yahoo/ESPN consensus leagues. I’ll tell you why the starting pitchers I discuss below have the best chance to provide positive values for your fantasy team. Let’s not forget where STREAM comves from, Starters Rule Everything Around Me


Chase Anderson (SP – MIL), 11% owned, home vs CIN, Monday, 7/22
Suggesting a streamer who gives up fly balls at a 43% clip in Miller Park seems like a risky proposition. However, Anderson has been pretty solid this year and I like the changes to his pitch mix. He’s throwing his cutter more often and has added some velocity to his fastball. Would you believe me if I told you he has three plus-pitchers via FanGraphs Pitch Values? His fastball, cutter, and changeup have been good which has generated a career-best swinging strike rate (SwStr%) of 11.6%. He’s only allowed more than three earned runs just twice over his 14 starts this season. He draws the Reds who have some thump in their lineup but have also struck out 23.1% of the time on the road this year. In addition, their 79 wRC+ away from GABP is tied for sixth lowest in MLB. Anderson is a fine deeper league stream.

Merill Kelly (SP – ARI), 25% owned, home vs BAL, Tuesday, 7/23
Kelly has quietly put together a solid first season back in States with a 3.77 ERA. All of his pitches have registered positive results per Pitch Values and while he doesn’t have any standout pitch, his repertoire is four pitches deep. He’s not likely to pile up strikeouts but averages about six innings per start which means he should qualify for a win and/or quality start. He draws the Orioles in Chase Field, so no DH for an already poor Baltimore lineup. The Orioles have managed just a 77 wRC+ away from Camden Yards with a 25.2% strikeout rate which is well above league average. I’m rolling with Kelly next week who also will carry his 2.83 home ERA into this start against the Orioles. STREAM

Zac Gallen (SP – MIA), 20% owned @CHW, Wednesday, 7/24
We’ve already seen some exciting flashes but also some struggles from the young rookie. However, he does have 26 strikeouts in just 22.1 innings pitched. Control seems to be the issue with Gallen as he’s already walked 14 batters which isn’t great. But, he clearly has great stuff given the high percentage of soft contact (22%) combined with the solid strikeout rate. I think his walks will come down as well based on his 60% first-pitch strike rate and 41% zone rate. Those are just a touch below league average but don’t warrant 5.64 walks per nine innings. He’ll get to face the White Sox who have been a below-average offense over the last month with a 25.6% strikeout rate. I’ll take my chances with the talented rookie next week and STREAM.


Reynaldo Lopez (SP – CHW), 9% owned home vs MIA, Wednesday, 7/24
After an extended multi-month break, Lopez and I may be back in speaking terms. Do yourself a favor and don’t look at his season-long numbers. Streaming is about what have you done for me lately. Lopez is coming off back-to-back quality starts with 15 strikeouts across 13 innings. More importantly, his fastball averaged 97 MPH in these two starts which is up two MPH on his season average. It’s helped boost his CSW% over 32% in those starts. Next week he gets the Marlins at home. I’d prefer this game be played in Miami for obvious park factor reasons but the Marlins are still a well below-average offensive club. They have struck out nearly 26% of the time as a team the last 30 days. If Rey-Lo has his stuff, he could reach 8 or 9 Ks. I’m streaming for upside here.

Griffin Canning (SP – LAA), 22% owned, home vs BAL, Friday 7/26
Griffindor Canning draws a weak Orioles lineup next week at home. I’m not sure how Canning is owned in fewer than 25% of leagues, but he is. I already discussed Baltimore’s poor 77 wRC+ and 25+% strikeout rate away from home earlier, so let’s talk Canning. He’s gone through a rough stretch but we have to keep in mind that the Angels are still grieving after losing Tyler Skaggs. It’s possible, that could be affecting his performance. Anyways, he got lit up against the Astros and the Rangers in Texas. Otherwise, he’s been very good. His slider is nasty with a 23.4% SwStr rate and a 56% groundball rate. He also has a good curve when he has the feel for it. Coming off a really nice start in Seattle, I’m betting on Canning to pitch well against a weaker opponent next week. STREAM

Felix Pena (SP – LAA), 7% Owned home vs BAL, Sunday, 7/28.
Last weekend Pena combined for a no-hitter against the Mariners where he went seven scoreless innings to close out the game. That’s the second time in five outings where Pena went at least six innings. That’s significant because he usually is used as a long man following the opener. Going deeper will give Pena a shot at a quality start. I don’t fully trust Pena’s 4.92 ERA, I tend to think his 1.19 WHIP and 17.3% K-BB rate is closer to his true talent. As discussed in Mr. Canning’s blurb, the Orioles are bad, especially away from home. I think Pena can pile up the strikeouts. Let’s take a look at his slider which he throws 39% of the time. He’s got a 40.7% K rate, 42.3% O-Swing, and a 23.1% SwStr rate, which has led to a .226 wOBA. I understand he was just taken for a ride against the Astros but the Orioles are not the Astros. I’ll be streaming Pena in 14-team and deep 12-teamers. 


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Photo Courtesy of Prospects Live

Starting Pitchers to Stream – Double Dose of the Dutch Oven

Starting Pitcher streamer options owned in 25% or less per FantasyPros Yahoo/ESPN ownership rates from August 20th – August 26th. Michael Kopech gets the call on Tuesday against the Twins this week for the White Sox. I don’t usually pick up a starter for his MLB debut (cough Sean Reid-Foley cough) mostly because of adrenaline, nervousness, etc. However, his upside for strikeouts is so high, he might be worth a shot. I would stay away for the first start but absolutely grab him and hold him if available. GRAB HIM NOW!

Derek Holland (SF) – 24%, Away vs NYM on Monday 8/20 AND Home vs TEX in Saturday 8/25
The Dutch Oven graces the streamer list for the second time in three weeks. The stream against the Mets seems obvious even though they did blow up for 24 runs against the Phillies this past week. However, offensively the Mets rank 29th out of 30 against left-handed pitching and have s 25.5% K rate as a team against those lefties. Holland has come back down to earth a little but he’s still getting strikeouts and has only allowed 4 ER or more once in his last 11 starts. STREAM.
Now for the Rangers. They have been on fire recently but that’s because Arlington is a launching pad all Summer. On the road though, the Rangers have a .300 wOBA and a 26% K rate. Not to mention, there’s no DH in this one. I think you can roll with Holland twice this week. STREAM x 2

Jake Junis (KC) 19% Away vs TB, Wednesday, 8/22
Junis has not had a very good Sophomore campaign. However, his last three starts have been good where he’s only given up four earned runs to go along with 21 strikeouts.  There’s two reasons for that, first he’s throwing his slider nearly 50% of the time and second, his fastball/sinker is not the homer-prone pitch it was earlier this year. Tampa Bay is a middle of the road team offensively but I think Junis can keep them at bay especially with his increased slider usage. I like Junis and his ability to get a K per innings with a quality start in this one. STREAM

Matt Boyd (DET), 24% at Home vs CHW, Thursday, 8/23
Over the last 30 days, the White Sox have a near 28% strikeout rate as a team, that’s the worst in the league by more than 3%. What’s more, they are in the bottom 10 in walk rate as well. Now, looking at Boyd, his slider has fueled his increased strikeout rate as he’s increased his slider usage from 10% to 30% this year. The pitch value on his slider is 14.4 per FanGraphs this year which ranks sixth in MLB for the pitch. Boyd’s fly ball tendencies posses a bit of a risk but his recent low walk rate combined with the White Sox elevated K rate makes this a solid STREAM.

Tyler Glasnow (TB), 24% at Home vs KC, Thursday, 8/23
Ok, I know Glasnow just got blown up in his last start, but it was against Red Sox in Fenway. More importantly, he went a season-high 6.2 innings and faced 25 batters. Including that start, Glasnow has a 3.38 ERA, 0.80 WHIP with 24 K in 18.2 IP as a starter. The Royals are bad, we know this. They have been a little better of late (20th wOBA last 30 days), but are bottom four offensively for the entire season. Outside of Whit Merrifeld, no one worries me at all. There’s no other streaming option that has 9 to 10 strikeout upside. Plus, we know he can go up to 100 pitches, so a quality start is still in play. STREAM

Reynaldo Lopez (CHW). 16% Away vs DET, Friday 8/24
I just pulled the trigger on Lopez for his two-start week annnnnnnnnnd it did not go well. He gave up four ER in seven innings against the Tigers on Monday and is currently getting beat up in the 2nd inning against the aforementioned Royals. Ugh, Lopez, you really let me down! If Lopez can’t get it done against those opponents, I can’t trust him here. I promise, I won’t be recommending Lopez the rest of the year. He’s a potential deep sleeper for next season, but I need to see more consistency. STAY AWAY

Starting Pitchers to Stream – Tommy Tutone Milone NOT feat. Santana



Reynaldo Lopez (CHW) 13% on the Road vs DET, Monday 8/13 and at Home vs KC, Sunday, 8/19
Rey-Lo has been a very high risk-reward Pitcher this year and I’ve stayed away for the better part of the last two months. However, Lopez’s last two starts have been solid, one against the Royals and the other an impressive one run outing against the Yankees. He’s been getting more swings and misses and most importantly, not walking many batters. It’s too early to tell if Rey-Lo has turned the corner yet but he gets the Royals again and the Tigers. In the last month, the Tigers have been the worst offense in the league with a .246 wOBA and .197 batting average! Wow, that’s awful. The Royals have been better but are still bottom five in the league in that last 30 days. Match-ups don’t get much better than this for a two start streamer, so I’m taking the plunge. STREAM

Jaime Barria (LAA) 10% on the road vs SD, Tuesday 8/14
Another young pitcher facing another terrible offense. Who gets the upper hand? Well the Padres have a .296 wOBA at home this season and are likely without Wil Myers until the weekend series. That’s good, but what about Barria? Barria hasn’t gotten a ton of strikeouts this year but his 11% swinging strike rate tells me that his strikeout numbers should be better. He’s coming off a great start against the Tigers and has given up more than 3 ER just once in his last 8 starts. Then there’s his slider. Opponents are hitting .173 off the slider with a sub-65% contact rate. His change up has been decent but the fastball is terrible. I don’t trust him beyond this start, but I’ll roll the dice on his great slider. STREAM

Ervin Santana (MIN) 22%, Home vs DET, Thursday 8/16
Finally, a crusty old veteran. Santana missed more than half the season and has not been good upon his return. How bad you ask? How about a 6.53 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP with only 14 strikeouts in 20.1 IP. The good: 20% soft contact… that’s it. The bad: his velocity is down 4 mph from last year, he’s allowed a crazy 98% zone contact, and has a sub-5% SwStr rate. Yikes. Until the velocity returns, I can’t recommend Santana. He’s far too hittable right now and I don’t think he’s completely right. STAY AWAY



Matt Boyd (DET) 18%, on the Road vs MIN, Friday 8/17
Matt is my Boy-d. How is he not over 25% owned? My guess is that over 40% of leagues are dead. I’ve discussed Boyd’s improved slider, it’s pitch value is up near Patrick Corbin’s this year and he’s kept the walks in check. I’m not really concerned about the Dozier-less, Escobar-less Twins. I think the only way he has trouble here is the home run ball. Over the last 30 days the Twins have only hit 18 home runs, tied for the second least in MLB. They also have a 94 wRC+ in that span. I like Boyd to get a QS with at least 5 strikeouts and solid ratios. STREAM

Joey Lucchesi (SD) 18%, Home vs ARI, Friday 8/17
The Diamondbacks have been middle of the road offensively this past month but much of it has been buoyed by a .323 BABIP. They have only managed 23 home runs in that time frame and it doesn’t hurt that this game is being played in Petco.  However, Lucchesi has been worse at home with an ERA well over 4.00 with and ERA in the mid-2s on the road. It’s a small sample, so I won’t completely trust it. Lucchesi is still getting strikeouts but not a ton of swings and misses and has an ERA over 5.00 in the second half. I think the league has figured him out a bit which was to be expected with his two-pitch arsenal. I think the D-Backs make this a short outing for Loey L. Stay Away

Tommy Milone (WAS) 3%, at Home vs MIA, Saturday 8/18
Milone got pummeled last week giving up 7 runs against the Braves. At this point, Milone is not scheduled a guaranteed start, so keep an eye on this one early in the week to see how the Nationals set up the rotation. Milone got stung by the long ball in that last start but he’s been able to punch out 19 batters in 18 innings and has yet to allow a walk! It’s not that he’s been in the zone too much either, he’s getting ahead of hitters with a 71% first pitch strike rate, combine that with a 13.2% SwStr rate and it looks like we may have something here. The Marlins are bad, there’s no doubt, and they just traded away their best power hitter in Justin Bour. This seems like an easy win for Milone with a decent strikeout total. I’m rolling with this one if he goes. STREAM



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Starting Pitchers to Stream 7/9 – 7/15

With this late submission, we look at some streaming options this week.

Jonathan Loaisiga (NYY) 15% Away vs BAL, Monday, July 9th
Johnny Lasagna! Sure it’s a road start but it’s not like Yankee Stadium is a great place to pitch. JL has had limited innings in the Majors, but I like what I’ve seen so far, his K rate is great and his ground ball rate is 60%. He averages nearly 96 mph on his fastball and gets swings outside the zone over 36% of the time. Then there’s Baltimore. They are tanking and other than Machado, who are you worried about? They strike out a bunch and are near the bottom of the league in offensive production. Johnny’s got a great shot at a win and 6 to 8 strikeouts in this one. STREAM

Zack Wheeler (NYM) 19% owned, Home vs PHI, Monday July 9th
With Loaisiga scratched, I’m rolling with my backup options Zack Wheeler. He has the first game of the doubleheader against the Phils today. Wheeler has a 97 mph fastball that generates a ton of weak contact, on the season, he’s given up 25.5% soft contact. He’s also getting a lot more swings and misses on the pitch because of the increased velocity. He’s been solid over his last four games going at least 6 IP in all four and a 2.73 ERA. The Phillies are decent offensively but can be neutralized on the road as they are middle of the pack when away from Citizens Bank. They also swing a miss a bunch, so Wheeler should be a good bet to pile up 6 or 7 Ks. STREAM.

Matt Andriese Ryan Yarbrough (TB) 1%, Home vs DET, Tuesday, July 10th
The things you need to know about Andriese are that he doesn’t get a ton of Ks, won’t kill you with walks, is getting ground balls at a 51% clip, and hasn’t gone more than 3.2 IP in any start this season. This is a bullpen game, but Detroit has been bad this past month with a .285 wOBA and strikeout and walk rates that are worse than league average. This could be either be Yarbrough or Stanek’s game to win in the middle innings if that’s how the decision goes. This is only a very deep league option, especially if you have limited starts for pitchers. Try one or both, but most likely Yarbrough unless they deploy him on Monday. Again, AL-Only or 16+ mixed with games started limits should look at this option. DEEP STREAM

Mike Montgomery (CHC) 22%, Away vs SF, Wednesday, July 11th
Montgomery has been good since joining the rotation in late May. However, his last three starts have not been very good giving up 12 runs (10 earned) and allowing 26 base runners in only 16 IP. The Giants are a very disciplined team striking out only 20% of the time and waking nearly 8.5% in the last 30 days. AT&T Park is a great pitcher‘s park but I can’t see much strikeout upside from Montgomery in this one. I also don’t see him going much more than 5 innings limiting his upside. I see a few earned runs and a bad WHIP in this start from MM. STAY AWAY



Reynaldo Lopez (CHW) 21%, Home vs KC, Friday, July 13th
I actually don’t trust Rey-Lo at this point in the season. I think he’s got very good skills and stuff but needs to be more consistent. He throws 96 mph and has an above average slider, but doesn’t get the swings and misses. However, he’s a guy that could throw seven shutout innings with eight strikeouts. The Royals have literally been the worst team in the league by a long-shot in the past month. As a team, they have hit .200/.255/.308 with a .248 wOBA in the last 30 days! Their K%-BB% is 17.5%, good for 5th worst in the league and are averaging 0.5 homers per game in that stretch. I think this is a moderate STREAM due to the struggles of KC but I can’t give full confidence.

Nick Kingham (9%), Home vs MIL, Friday July 13th
Kingham has been jerked around a bit but will make his third straight start in the Majors for the first time this year. He’s coming off a very good start against the Phillies and has a to face a potent Brewers lineup at home. Here’s the thing, the Brewers haven‘t been great offensively this past month, but they were missing some key players (Yelich, Cain, Braun, Thames), for portions of June and July. All but Braun is back, but the Brewers strike out over 26% of the time. I think Kingham is legit and will throw a solid game against the Brewers now that the Pirates are showing more confidence in him. STREAM

Mike Minor (13%), Away vs BAL, Sunday July 15th
Minor’ has been solid of late and the Orioles are one of the worst offensive teams in the league. Minor’s velocity however, is decreasing and that’s worrisome. He doesn’t get hurt with the walks, so it’s really just the home run ball that kills Minor. Personally, I think the innings jump is going to put a toll on Minor sometime soon, like a couple weeks after the All-Star break. I’m not 100% confident, but I’d say roll with Minor for another couple weeks if the match-ups are good, then cut bait. STREAM

Week 2/3 – Pitchers to Stream (4/9 – 4/15)

Last week was kind of a mixed bag in terms of streamers. I did not receive a single win and the strikeout numbers were low. The WHIP somehow managed below 1.00 and the ERA was over 4! It really was the Reynaldo Lopez show who of course I’m streaming again this week until his ownership goes over 25%. I suspect that to happen by week’s end. The final numbers from last week:

0 W 4.56 ERA 0.98 WHIP 19 K, 3 QS in 5 starts

I’m try to do better this week looking at more strikeout upside and hopefully a couple wins. Here are my streaming options for 4/9-4/15.

Jakob Junis (KC), 24% 4/9 Home v Sea
No Nelson Cruz or Mike Zunino which is good. Junis will still have to deal with hot hitting Cano among other left hand hitters Dee Gordon and Kyle Seager. However, without Cruz, the Seattle lineup just isn’t all that scary. I like that the game is in Kansas City which is not only a pitcher’s park but the weather is going to be in the low 40s so again, favor Junis. STREAM

Nick Pivetta (PHI), 5% 4/11 Home v CIN
Yup, Nicky P is legit. 12 strikeouts in 9 ⅔ innings against only 2 walks. He’s given up 9 hits but that’s fueled by am inflated .375 BABIP. I don’t love his home park and the Reds have some hitters that can take him deep but they also have a ton of free swingers. Now that Suarez is hurt (who I believe is their second best hitter), I’m not concerned outside of Joey Votto. The weather should be cool, so that should keep the ball in the yard and it’s not like Pivetta has given up much hard contact thus far, under 21%. STREAM

Hyun-Jin Ryu (LAD), 10% 4/11 Home v OAK
Ryu had a rough first start lasting only 3 ⅔ innings, striking out 2 and walking 5 batters. This is a home start against the Athletics who were just mowed down by Babe Ohtani. Ryu is no Ohtani though. The Athletics have a ton swing and miss in their game but also a ton of power. Much of it from the right side except for Olson. Ryu isn’t a big strikeout pitcher, so I’m concerned that if he can’t get his walks under control he’s going to pay against the As. He gives up a lot of hard contact and home runs have been an issue in the past. I can see a blow up with a couple of HRs given up with men on base. STAY AWAY

Chris Stratton (SF) 4/12 3% v SD on the road
Stratton is destined to be a streamer all year long. The positives with Stratton: great home park, limits homeruns (yes that’s a skill to a certain extent), and he’s improved his velocity. Negatives: Limited strikeout upside, control is average, and the Giants aren’t very good. I understand that the Padres aren’t good but the ballpark is actually a better park than AT&T Park. Stratton has limited homers more at home than on the road, so this makes sense. I need to see more from Stratton. This has the makings of a 5 IP, 5 hits, 3 BB, 3 ER, 3 K type start. STAY AWAY

Chad Kuhl (PIT) 4/13 4% v MIA on the road
Kuhl is one of my sleepers coming into 2018. He’s got good stuff along with a 96 mph fastball. He really just needs to execute to be successful. So far after two starts, he’s got a K rate over 9.0 and a walk rate at 2.5/9. He’s been a little unlucky in terms of BABIP against at .375 due to an unsustainable 37.5% line drive rate. I don’t love Kuhl’s pitch mix so far (more sliders please) but the Marlins don’t scare me. STREAM

Reynaldo Lopez (CHW) 4/14 22% v MIN on the road
Not much to say here, his percentage will keep rising, so grab him and hold him if he’s available. He’s been dominating and yes his walks are a little high and his BABIP is cannot be maintained but his swinging strike and first pitch strike percentages tell me that his K rate should rise his walk rate should drop. STREAM until you can’t anymore.

Bonus Stream: Yonny Chirinos (TB)
Yonny isn’t scheduled to start due to the Rays having a 4-man rotation, good luck with that. Chirinos did make spot start last week and was solid over 5 innings without allowing a run or a walk, while striking out four. I’ve been intrigued by Chirinos since the start of 2017. He’s has success at every level, isn’t a major strikeout pitcher but has incredible control, gets ground balls and there’s value in that. He’s not fully stretched out, but if he gets the start, he could see 80 pitches +/- which should be good for 5-6 innings, 4-5 Ks and good ratios. STREAM (if he gets a start)

Week 1 Pitchers to Stream (4/2 – 4/8)

Every week I’ll post somewhere between three and five streaming options that are available in at least 75% of leagues using FantasyPros Yahoo/ESPN consensus ownership. I will keep track of the statistics for all my streaming picks to see how well I fared. It’s also fun, so there’s that. I’m calling 4/2 through 4/8 Week 1 since it’s the first full week of games.

4/3: Matt Boyd (DET) Home against the Kansas City Royals (2% owned)
Boyd did have a great 2017 but there was a lot of luck that did not go his way including a .330 BABIP and a 68.7% LOB. He has improved on his SwStr rates and induces a lot of popups and soft contact. Pitching at home, a decent pitcher’s park against one of the worst lineups, I’ll take a chance. I want to see what new pitching coach Chris Bosio can do with some of the Tiger’s pitchers (Norris being another intriguing name). Boyd is left handed and the most dangerous hitters the Royals poses are left handed, so if Boyd can neutralize them, he should have a shot at a quality start and a win. STREAM

4/3: Marco Gonzalez (SEA) Away against the S.F. Giants (4% owned)
High risk, pick here. Coming off Tommy John surgery, so I doubt he goes deep in this one. The Giants don’t strikeout much and are very patient, so they will see a lot of pitches. The park is good, but this one may blow up in your face. It’s a low risk, low reward on this one. The best you can hope for is five to six innings, 2-3 ER, and 4-5 strikeouts. STAY AWAY

4/3: Seth Lugo (NYM) Home against the Philadelphia Phillies (1% owned)
At first, Lugo was my favorite of the group owned under 5%. However, the Phillies roll out a ton of lefties and switch hitters. The good news is, he doesn’t have huge L/R splits and he’s at home where he dominates with a 2.54 career ERA at Citi Field.  Citi Field is known as a great pitcher’s park and Lugo has talent. Unfortunately he’s either been injured or hasn’t been given a chance, maybe this is his shot. STREAM

4/3: Jack Flaherty (STL) Away against the Milwaukee Brewers (12% Owned)
Flaherty may have the best stuff of the group under 255 owned but also is faced with an incredibly tough matchup. I believe he has the highest strikeout upside but could get bombed for 5 ER in 2 innings. Right now, the new Brewers are mashing led by Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich, both hitting over .500 to start the season. They have great depth and can throw out a lineup mostly comprised of lefties which could give Flaherty headaches. This one might be too scary to stream. STAY AWAY

4/4: Ivan Nova (PIT) at Home against the Twins (13% owned)
Wow, Nova walked three batters in his first start! He walked three or more batters only three times in 31 starts in 2017. I don’t expect that to happen again, but also don’t expect a lot of Ks either. The Twins do have a few dangerous left handed batters with Logan Morrison, Eddie Rosario, Joe Mauer, and Max Kepler. That’s not exactly a murders row and if Nova keeps the walks down to a minimum a solo homer or two shouldn’t kill him. Expect a quality start with 3-4 strikeouts and a chance for a win. STREAM

4/5 Jordan Zimmermann (DET) Away against the Chicago White Sox  (5% owned)
Zimmerman went six innings and gave up four earned runs in his first start, but it wasn’t all bad. He struck out eight and only walked one batter without allowing a home run. He mostly induced weak contact on his balls in play and now gets to face one of the worst teams offensively at home. I still don’t trust him long term, and the White Sox have been swinging hot bats early. I expect them to cool down a bit and there’s a lot of strikeout potential with the Sox lineup. Roll Zimm out for one more. STREAM.

4/7 Reynaldo Lopez (CWS) Home against the Detroit Tigers (8% owned)
Lopez was slinging it in Spring Training with velocity reading around 97 and 98 mph. His results weren’t great but he’s got a great fastball and a decent change up. The Tigers aren’t exactly scaring anyone this year and while I’d hold off on keeping Lopez, he’s a nice stream this week. At some point, Lopez should tap into his strikeout potential, but for now he just needs to throw strikes and continue to induce weak contact. This one is risky, but if you need a pitcher late in the week this is your guy. STREAM.